Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000128 0.000141 0.000154 0.000170 0.000187 0.000206 0.000228
2025-12-07 0.000105 0.000125 0.000147 0.000174 0.000208 0.000247 0.000297
2025-12-14 0.000088 0.000110 0.000136 0.000171 0.000216 0.000273 0.000351
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000097 0.000125 0.000165 0.000218 0.000289 0.000392
2025-12-28 0.000067 0.000090 0.000121 0.000165 0.000228 0.000316 0.000450
2026-01-04 0.000062 0.000085 0.000118 0.000166 0.000239 0.000343 0.000511
2026-01-11 0.000056 0.000079 0.000113 0.000164 0.000243 0.000362 0.000561
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000076 0.000110 0.000165 0.000252 0.000389 0.000626
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000162 0.000255 0.000406 0.000677
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000068 0.000103 0.000162 0.000262 0.000429 0.000740
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000159 0.000264 0.000444 0.000791
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000060 0.000095 0.000156 0.000264 0.000457 0.000840
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000159 0.000277 0.000492 0.000938
2026-03-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000094 0.000162 0.000290 0.000532 0.001053
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000053 0.000090 0.000159 0.000291 0.000549 0.001122
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000153 0.000287 0.000554 0.001166
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000153 0.000295 0.000585 0.001275
2026-03-29 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000154 0.000304 0.000620 0.001395
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000080 0.000152 0.000306 0.000639 0.001484
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000153 0.000314 0.000674 0.001614
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000316 0.000692 0.001708
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000150 0.000322 0.000722 0.001835
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000038 0.000072 0.000148 0.000322 0.000738 0.001928